Tuesday, June 1, 2010

What do Apple’s actions mean for the future of Flash?

Clearly there are many complexities to predicting a Flash future. On the surface the arguments forwarded by Apple about Flash identify the fact that Flash technology is not based on a ‘standard’ as defined by the W3C. There are perplexities entangling this argument though. Who is involved in constituting a ‘standard’? The most important players are, of course, those who operate the browsers. After all, without browser support, the many languages of the web won’t be understood. Flash is based on an object-oriented language - ActionScript. However ActionScript is not a standard as recognized by the W3C. Despite the ubiquitous presence of Flash in the web space for years, its language has not entered into the standards arena. Has Adobe been remiss in not making its scripting languages form a standard? Was Adobe happy to not have to make their software completely standards compliant so as to protect its scripting formula and ward off competition? Whatever the reasons, there is certainly a social pressure building for Adobe to move towards complying with its standards.

Leaving the issue of whether to standardize or not standardize to the side, there is another, much larger factor to consider. There is an entire industry built around Flash professionals. From designers to coders, consideration must be given to the employment projections within the Flash industry. Rather than convergence perhaps the result of this drama will be that more platforms will exist – each purposed with supporting specialized software.

Perhaps… perhaps not….

Could Apple afford Adobe?

If rumour and innuendo are anything to go by perhaps Apple is paving a way to re-release its own design software. CorelDraw has never really been a serious contender to the Adobe product suite, but a consequence of the current furore is that comparisons are being made of the design software alternatives.

Or better yet could Apple be priming the market for a merger? Could Apple scrape together a few pennies to acquire Adobe?

Food for thought:

Adobe value – Market cap 16.95B
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=ADBE


Apple value – Market cap 230.53B
http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ks?s=AAPL+Key+Statistics


The externalities of Apple's actions - Apple v. Adobe

The technology hardware and software world has been a-buzz in recent months with a modern day corporate battle: Apple v. Adobe. But this war of attrition is not new. I recall the same topic emerging with the first release of the iphone in 2008.



The sentiment of today’s battle though is changing. It’s slightly more salty, more acidic even then the propriety shown in the teaser episodes of ’08. Then, there was still a glimmer of hope in Adobe’s eye that Apple would recant and decide to extend the invitee list to the exclusive party. Playing the accommodating friend, Adobe was seen to be saying the right things, working on a work-around, ‘Flash-lite’. This slimmed down version though was really a Flash-in-the-pants that Apple never really contemplated implementing. What is emerging in this spectacle though is a clear example of capitalist class distinctions: the ruler from the ruled.



Surely when big business takes such an aggressive stance on an issue, the vulnerability bells start ringing. The public protestations made by Apple that Flash has too many bugs, drains batteries too quickly and is too oriented to PCs caused a media storm. Exercising good spin – I mean – good communications practice #1, Steve Jobs posted a well articulated piece entitled ‘Thoughts on Flash’.  Freedom of speech via the internet (after all, wasn’t freedom to information, free speech, and open access the original premise on which the ideologies of the internet was built?) was similarly exercised by Adobe. While Adobe talks about openness in its right of response, let’s remember that the Adobe products aren’t of an open source nature. Nor are they entirely cheap – irrespective of the purchaser being an amateur or professional. Economically then, both Apple and Adobe are proprietary enterprises, both seeking to maximise profits through the products they produce. While the past presents examples in the technology industry of software and hardware enterprises working together to provide mutually beneficial outcomes, these arrangement can only suffice for as long as those involved continue to share similar values and philosophies. Through a philosophical prism then the core of this Apple v. Adobe riff is based on different ideas of standards and acceptable levels of service.



Good communication practice #2 – address the issues that opponents are citing even if they make your argument vulnerable. Within the opening of the ‘Thoughts on Flash’ piece Jobs identifies the Adobe’s criticism of Apple not accommodating Flash saying ‘Adobe has characterized our decision as being primarily business driven – they say we want to protect our App Store..’. Without doubt, it really is hard to overlook the fact that by not allowing Flash, Apple retains certain aspects of its revenue streams that, with Flash, would be flowing in other streams not owned by apple. It’s easy to discern how this could happen: multimedia created in Flash can house applications that are downloadable from the web. Seeing that the ‘i’ Apple products obviously connect to the web, applications downloaded via Flash would circumvent the need to purchase downloadable applications via the ‘i’ Apple shops. With media devices other than the humble desktop computer now pervading society the logical question is 'what does the future hold for Flash as a marketable product'?